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How many copies did Charlotte: Dragon Slayer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Charlotte: Dragon Slayer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Charlotte: Dragon Slayer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 307k–608k
best case 921k (Finding Paradise)
Games like Charlotte: Dragon Slayer

A typical game among these

≈ 307k–608k copies

≈ $1.8M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Finding Paradise at ≈ 702k–1.1M copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 415 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Emotional, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 235k–382k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelEmotional
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard
2023
Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDating Sim
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Vampires' Melody
2020
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$156k–$419k after Steam's cut $284k–$645k before Steam's cut
$3.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelCasual
Impostor Factory
2021
Est. copies
≈ 319k–519k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$877k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
Elin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 229k–372k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCharacter Customization
SCARLET NEXUS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 452k–734k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$79.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
Finding Paradise
2017
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional

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