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How many copies did Affogato sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–46k
$132k–$356k after Steam's cut $241k–$548k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Affogato and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Affogato's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.8M
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like Affogato

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.8M copies

≈ $16.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the range was 18k to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (4 of 5) and Anime (4 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Female Protagonist, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 5 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Granblue Fantasy: Relink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
AI LIMIT
2025
Est. copies
≈ 921k–1.5M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeFemale Protagonist
Tales of Berseria™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Tales of ARISE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.