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How many copies did Nexus 5X sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–38k
$97k–$261k after Steam's cut $176k–$401k before Steam's cut
from 949 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nexus 5X and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nexus 5X's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 342k–528k
best case 3.6M (Business Tour - Board Game with Online Multiplayer)
Games like Nexus 5X

A typical game among these

≈ 342k–528k copies

≈ $2.6M–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Business Tour - Board Game with Online Multiplayer at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 778 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (8 of 8) and Tabletop (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Business Tour - Board Game with Online Multiplayer
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
81k reviews
Mixed
Board GameFree to Play
Wingspan
2020
Est. copies
≈ 299k–485k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingBoard Game
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Richman10
2019
Est. copies
≈ 424k–690k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$13.99
15k reviews
Mixed
CasualMultiplayer
Axis & Allies 1942 Online
2021
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$698k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
WargameBoard Game
For The King II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 403k–654k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRPG
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Card Hunter
2015
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCard Game

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.