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How many copies did Death Below sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
from 82 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Death Below and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Death Below's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.7M–7.2M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Death Below

A typical game among these

≈ 5.7M–7.2M copies

≈ $47.4M–$82.9M after Steam's cut

from ~110k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Zombies (8 of 8) and Horror (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Co-op + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Last of Us™ Part I
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichPost-apocalyptic
Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
224k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
No More Room in Hell
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayZombies
Killing Floor
2009
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.4M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSZombies
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
9.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Resident Evil 4 (2005)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
Inventory ManagementSurvival Horror
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer

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