How much revenue did The Last of Us™ Part I make?

$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Last of Us™ Part I sell?

Q: How many copies did The Last of Us™ Part I sell?

2.7M to 4.4M copies, based on its 110k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.7M–4.4M; $45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut; from 110k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last of Us™ Part I and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last of Us™ Part I's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–6.8M

best case 31.8M (Dying Light)

Games like The Last of Us™ Part I

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–6.8M copies

≈ $23.1M–$112.5M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.2M–39.3M copies, ≈ $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 72k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Zombies (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Days Gone 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	117k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldZombies
The Walking Dead: Season Two 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesAdventure
The Walking Dead 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.5M after Steam's cut $38.2M–$86.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	81k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesStory Rich
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M 7.4x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Half-Life 2: Episode Two 2007	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	47k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich