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How many copies did Match Village sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 73 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Match Village and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Match Village's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 375–8k
best case 68k (Triple Town)
Games like Match Village

A typical game among these

≈ 375–8k copies

≈ $1k–$27k after Steam's cut

from ~26 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Triple Town at ≈ 52k–85k copies, ≈ $143k–$385k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 23.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Match 3, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tile Tale
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
51 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyArcade
Spellarium 10
2023
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$622–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$12.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Match 3Casual
5 Star Miami Resort
2019
Est. copies
≈ 720–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$8.99
25 reviews
Positive
CasualMatch 3
Triple Town
2012
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
32x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$143k–$385k after Steam's cut $260k–$593k before Steam's cut
$9.99
825 reviews
Very Positive
CasualStrategy
Tales of the Orient: The Rising Sun
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19k–32k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut
$9.99
398 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Laruaville 11 Match 3 Puzzle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
12 reviews
Positive
Match 3Hidden Object
SUBARACITY
2019
Est. copies
≈ 749–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
26 reviews
Mixed
SolitaireCasual
Nakornsampan
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before Steam's cut
$1.99
10 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualStrategy

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