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How many copies did Triple Town sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 52k–85k
$143k–$385k after Steam's cut $260k–$593k before Steam's cut
from 825 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Triple Town and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Triple Town's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–221k
best case 677k (Bejeweled® 3)
Games like Triple Town

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–221k copies

≈ $12k–$473k after Steam's cut

from ~683 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bejeweled® 3 at ≈ 516k–838k copies, ≈ $708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Match 3, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 224k–364k
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$307k–$826k after Steam's cut $559k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction
11
2016
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≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Free
Free
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CasualIndie
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2013
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≈ 150k–244k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
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$4.99
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Match 3Indie
PuzzleQuest: Challenge of the Warlords
2008
Est. copies
≈ 71k–116k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$196k–$528k after Steam's cut $357k–$812k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleMatch 3
Artifact Quest 2 - Match 3 Puzzle
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
$6.99
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Very Positive
Match 3Casual
5 Star Miami Resort
2019
Est. copies
≈ 720–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$8.99
25 reviews
Positive
CasualMatch 3
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Heroes of Hellas 3: Athens
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$2.99
235 reviews
Very Positive
CasualStrategy

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