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How many copies did Tales of the Orient: The Rising Sun sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–32k
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut
from 398 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tales of the Orient: The Rising Sun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tales of the Orient: The Rising Sun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 85k–152k
best case 2.0M (HuniePop)
Games like Tales of the Orient: The Rising Sun

A typical game among these

≈ 85k–152k copies

≈ $49k–$517k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HuniePop at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Romance + Mature + Dating Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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PuzzleQuest: Challenge of the Warlords
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PuzzleMatch 3
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HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
17x vs typical
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight
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ActionRPG

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