How much revenue did Conbunn Cardboard make?

$27k–$72k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Conbunn Cardboard sell?

Q: How many copies did Conbunn Cardboard sell?

14k to 23k copies, based on its 559 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 14k–23k; $27k–$72k after Steam's cut $48k–$110k before Steam's cut; from 559 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Conbunn Cardboard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Conbunn Cardboard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 142k–204k

best case 1.6M (Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night)

Games like Conbunn Cardboard

A typical game among these

≈ 142k–204k copies

≈ $955k–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 820 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and Female Protagonist (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Female Protagonist, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Metroidvania + Side Scroller; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
THE KING OF FIGHTERS XIV STEAM EDITION 2017	Est. copies ≈ 146k–238k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.0M before Steam's cut	$89.99	4k reviews Very Positive	FightingArcade
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	42k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaRPG
Beyond Citadel 2025	Est. copies ≈ 117k–190k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $481k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $875k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSFemale Protagonist
Shantae: Half-Genie Hero 2016	Est. copies ≈ 101k–164k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $554k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistPlatformer
Marfusha:Sentinel Girls 2021	Est. copies ≈ 80k–130k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $175k–$472k after Steam's cut $319k–$726k before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	AnimeAction Roguelike
Eiyuden Chronicle: Hundred Heroes 2024	Est. copies ≈ 116k–188k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	JRPGRPG
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 235k–382k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelEmotional
ANNO: Mutationem 2022	Est. copies ≈ 164k–267k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RPGPixel Graphics