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How many copies did Stranded Nightmare sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
from 56 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stranded Nightmare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stranded Nightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 608k–1.2M
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Stranded Nightmare

A typical game among these

≈ 608k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.7M–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 55k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Online Co-Op + Psychological Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Content Warning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$7.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Sherlock Holmes: Crimes and Punishments
2014
Est. copies
≈ 451k–733k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Demonologist
2023
Est. copies
≈ 602k–978k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
38x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
We Were Here Too
2018
Est. copies
≈ 344k–559k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$945k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpEscape Room
We Were Here
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
33k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCo-op
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.