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wishvane

How many copies did The Oregon Trail sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30k–49k
$246k–$662k after Steam's cut $448k–$1.0M before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Oregon Trail out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Oregon Trail's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 154k–394k
best case 1.6M (Kingdom Two Crowns)

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A healthy genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 154k–394k copies
≈ $1.1M–$2.1M after Steam's cut
from ~7k reviews
Best case
≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies
Kingdom Two Crowns · ≈ $6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on City Builder (2 of 8) and Detective (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + City Builder, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Tower Defense + Minimalist + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Steam Link
2015
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Steam MachineSoftware
The World of Kungfu: Dragon and Eagle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$573k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before the cut
$17.99
5k reviews
Mixed
RPGIndie
Clanfolk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$781k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Kingdom Two Crowns
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut $11.8M–$26.9M before the cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseMinimalist
Yes, Your Grace
2020
Est. copies
≈ 369k–599k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before the cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterIndie
The End Is Nigh
2017
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
The Rewinder
2021
Est. copies
≈ 182k–296k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$750k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureMystery
The Case of the Golden Idol
2022
Est. copies
≈ 259k–420k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before the cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryDetective

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