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How many copies did The End Is Nigh sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 120k–195k
$495k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $901k–$2.0M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The End Is Nigh out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The End Is Nigh's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 48.1M–91.4M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like The End Is Nigh

The middle of these games

≈ 48.1M–91.4M copies

≈ $269.5M–$550.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1.0M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (3 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Battle Royale + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.9M–50.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.3M–$113.8M after Steam's cut $77.0M–$175.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 79.8M–129.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.2M–70.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$177.9M–$478.3M after Steam's cut $323.4M–$735.8M before the cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.4M–96.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$326.7M–$878.4M after Steam's cut $594.0M–$1351.4M before the cut
$19.99
940k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.4M–$307.5M after Steam's cut $207.9M–$473.1M before the cut
$19.99
839k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.2M–159.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$269.8M–$725.3M after Steam's cut $490.5M–$1115.8M before the cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox

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