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How many copies did Gourdlets sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 55k–89k
$75k–$202k after Steam's cut $136k–$311k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gourdlets and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gourdlets's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.3M
best case 3.7M (Planet Zoo)
Games like Gourdlets

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–3.3M copies

≈ $13.1M–$59.7M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Planet Zoo at ≈ 2.8M–4.6M copies, ≈ $34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 15k to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (7 of 8) and Building (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Banished
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.3M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
Planet Coaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.2M–$100.0M after Steam's cut $67.6M–$153.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
72k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding
Planet Zoo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut $63.4M–$144.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Cities: Skylines II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.5M–$84.7M after Steam's cut $57.3M–$130.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
92k reviews
Mixed
Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive

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