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How many copies did Mato Anomalies sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$88k before Steam's cut
from 207 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mato Anomalies and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mato Anomalies's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 270k–1.7M
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like Mato Anomalies

A typical game among these

≈ 270k–1.7M copies

≈ $2.8M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 875 reviews in their first month; the range was 94 to 972.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Detective (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 111k–181k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles
2021
Est. copies
≈ 237k–385k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Return to Shironagasu Island
2020
Est. copies
≈ 106k–173k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$146k–$392k after Steam's cut $265k–$603k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel

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