How much revenue did Lost Judgment make?

$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lost Judgment sell?

Q: How many copies did Lost Judgment sell?

242k to 394k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 242k–394k; $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut; from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost Judgment and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Judgment's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–6.7M

best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)

Games like Lost Judgment

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–6.7M copies

≈ $3k–$333k after Steam's cut

from ~937 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Automobile Sim (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 58k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Automobile Sim (3 of 8) and Bowling (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M 2221x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M 219x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	205k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 218x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	204k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $181k–$486k after Steam's cut $329k–$747k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MemesPixel Graphics
BandRoll 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	104 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRhythm
Sadball 2024	Est. copies ≈ 918–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	37 reviews Positive	ExplorationPrecision Platformer
PBA Pro Bowling 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before Steam's cut	$14.99	188 reviews Mostly Positive	SportsSimulation
Roxy Raccoon's Bowling Bash 2022	Est. copies ≈ 570–927 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	23 reviews Positive	Bowling3D Platformer