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How many copies did Richman 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 43k–71k
$72k–$192k after Steam's cut $130k–$296k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Richman 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Richman 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–7k
best case 8k (Richman 8)
Games like Richman 4

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–7k copies

≈ $8k–$23k after Steam's cut

from ~151 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Richman 8 at ≈ 6k–10k copies, ≈ $13k–$35k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 35.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Trading (5 of 8) and Tabletop (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tabletop + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $8.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.6x vs typical
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