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How many copies did Catan VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
from 93 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Catan VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Catan VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.7M
best case 2.8M (SteamVR)
Games like Catan VR

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–2.7M copies

≈ $10.6M–$36.9M after Steam's cut

from ~61k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SteamVR at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Software.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Tabletop Playground
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$115k before Steam's cut
$14.99
273 reviews
Mixed
IndieSimulation
Hand Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
73k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFlight
Chess Ultra
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyChess
X-Plane 11
2017
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.5M after Steam's cut $10.5M–$23.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.