How much revenue did Heavy Burden make?

$33k–$89k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heavy Burden sell?

Q: How many copies did Heavy Burden sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 406 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut; from 406 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heavy Burden and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heavy Burden's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–23k

best case 62k (Braid, Anniversary Edition)

Games like Heavy Burden

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–23k copies

≈ $41k–$117k after Steam's cut

from ~525 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Braid, Anniversary Edition at ≈ 47k–76k copies, ≈ $258k–$694k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 97 reviews in their first month; the range was 30 to 463.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + 2D Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Teslagrad Remastered 2023	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $19k–$51k after Steam's cut $35k–$79k before Steam's cut	$9.99	280 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureAction
GravNewton 2017	Est. copies ≈ 16k–26k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$184k before Steam's cut	$9.99	471 reviews Mostly Positive	Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Draw 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21k–34k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	849 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGAction RPG
Braid, Anniversary Edition 2024	Est. copies ≈ 47k–76k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $258k–$694k after Steam's cut $469k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-Platformer2D Platformer
The Deletion 2015	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$1.99	228 reviews Mostly Positive	Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Teslagrad 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $82k–$222k after Steam's cut $150k–$341k before Steam's cut	$19.99	605 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventurePuzzle
Time Loader 2021	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut	$7.99	578 reviews Very Positive	LogicStory Rich
Q.U.B.E. 10th Anniversary 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $26k–$69k after Steam's cut $47k–$106k before Steam's cut	$19.99	188 reviews Very Positive	SimulationAction