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How many copies did Teslagrad 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$82k–$222k after Steam's cut $150k–$341k before Steam's cut
from 605 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Teslagrad 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Teslagrad 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–5.2M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Teslagrad 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–5.2M copies

≈ $21.2M–$67.1M after Steam's cut

from ~51k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
Little Nightmares II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction-Adventure
Trine 4: The Nightmare Prince
2019
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerLocal Co-Op
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 515k–837k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour

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