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How many copies did UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
from 44k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.2M–17.3M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection

A typical game among these

≈ 8.2M–17.3M copies

≈ $145.3M–$174.1M after Steam's cut

from ~271k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 72k reviews in their first month; the range was 16k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Mythology + Action RPG + Souls-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.1M–27.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
271k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
220k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction

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