How much revenue did Capes make?

$138k–$371k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Capes sell?

Q: How many copies did Capes sell?

13k to 20k copies, based on its 506 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–20k; $138k–$371k after Steam's cut $251k–$571k before Steam's cut; from 506 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Capes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Capes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 725–2k

best case 4.9M (XCOM: Enemy Unknown)

Games like Capes

A typical game among these

≈ 725–2k copies

≈ $1k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~42 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: XCOM: Enemy Unknown at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 5k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $37. The breakout hits carry Tactical + Sci-fi + Aliens; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
XCOM: Enemy Unknown 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 1399x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	59k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based StrategyTactical
Marvel's Midnight Suns 2022	Est. copies ≈ 609k–990k 585x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	25k reviews Very Positive	SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Battle Star 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	187 reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
ZHP: Unlosing Ranger vs. Darkdeath Evilman 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut	$19.99	61 reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Aurora - Hidden Colors 2021	Est. copies ≈ 546–887 SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $749–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	22 reviews Positive	ExplorationTactical RPG
FAS: Fight Action Sandbox 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$6.99	80 reviews Mixed	SimulationStrategy
Captain Velvet Meteor: The Jump+ Dimensions 2024	Est. copies ≈ 570–927 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$24.99	23 reviews Positive	AnimePuzzle
Code Of Superheroes 2024	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut	$4.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy