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How many copies did Shogun Showdown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 176k–286k
$726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shogun Showdown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shogun Showdown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 107k–173k
best case 448k (The Last Spell)
Games like Shogun Showdown

A typical game among these

≈ 107k–173k copies

≈ $448k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Last Spell at ≈ 341k–555k copies, ≈ $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Turn-Based, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Combat + Singleplayer + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Disgaea 5 Complete
2018
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Swords and Sandals Classic Collection
2019
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$240k–$645k after Steam's cut $436k–$992k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Urtuk: The Desolation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 63k–103k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$244k–$657k after Steam's cut $444k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$13.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Disgaea PC
2016
Est. copies
≈ 201k–326k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Strategy RPGJRPG
Warhammer 40,000: Armageddon (Classic)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 61k–98k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$333k–$895k after Steam's cut $605k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Siralim 3
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$124k–$333k after Steam's cut $225k–$512k before Steam's cut
$14.99
988 reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorCollectathon
Caves of Qud
2024
Est. copies
≈ 316k–514k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Procedural GenerationTurn-Based Combat

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