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How many copies did Magicraft sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 419k–681k
$1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magicraft and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magicraft's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 289k–1.6M
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Magicraft

A typical game among these

≈ 289k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.6M–$16.9M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Deadzone: Rogue
2025
Est. copies
≈ 415k–674k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRogue-like
10 Minutes Till Dawn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
SULFUR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Revita
2022
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$760k after Steam's cut $514k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike

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