How much revenue did Seafrog make?

$6k–$17k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Seafrog sell?

Q: How many copies did Seafrog sell?

2k copies, based on its 62 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k; $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut; from 62 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Seafrog and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Seafrog's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 55k–291k

best case 930k (Sonic Frontiers)

Games like Seafrog

A typical game among these

≈ 55k–291k copies

≈ $374k–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sonic Frontiers at ≈ 709k–1.2M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 52 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + 3D Platformer, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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