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How many copies did LEGO® Harry Potter: Years 1-4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 603k–980k
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LEGO® Harry Potter: Years 1-4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LEGO® Harry Potter: Years 1-4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 209k–14.3M
best case 20.7M (The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition)
Games like LEGO® Harry Potter: Years 1-4

A typical game among these

≈ 209k–14.3M copies

≈ $1.6M–$223.4M after Steam's cut

from ~89k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 171k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (6 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.5M–$84.6M after Steam's cut $57.2M–$130.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
LEGO® Harry Potter: Years 5-7
2012
Est. copies
≈ 212k–344k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOAdventure
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut
2008
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.9M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Awakening of Mummies
2021
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
36 reviews
Positive
Ninja
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$151–$405 after Steam's cut $275–$623 before Steam's cut
$10.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
StrategyAdventure

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