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How many copies did Deadlight sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 808k–1.3M
$3.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.8M before Steam's cut
from 13k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deadlight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deadlight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–127k
best case 520k (The Final Station)
Games like Deadlight

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–127k copies

≈ $46k–$394k after Steam's cut

from ~634 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Final Station at ≈ 396k–643k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 54 reviews in their first month; the range was 30 to 388.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + Survival, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Final Station
2016
Est. copies
≈ 396k–643k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsPost-apocalyptic
I Am Alive
2012
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalPost-apocalyptic
Bubsy Two-Fur
2015
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$173k–$466k after Steam's cut $315k–$717k before Steam's cut
$24.99
517 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Deadlight: Director's Cut
2016
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$227k–$610k after Steam's cut $412k–$938k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionZombies
The Underground Man 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$2.49
144 reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsPost-apocalyptic
Mayhem in Single Valley: Confessions
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
90 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Dark Light
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$87k–$234k after Steam's cut $158k–$360k before Steam's cut
$16.99
751 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionMetroidvania
Adrenaline Rampage
2025
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$14.99
40 reviews
Positive
Early AccessRPG

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