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How many copies did Dark Light sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–30k
$87k–$234k after Steam's cut $158k–$360k before Steam's cut
from 751 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Light and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Light's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–14.1M
best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Dark Light

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–14.1M copies

≈ $19.5M–$91.4M after Steam's cut

from ~68k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 18.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Souls-like (6 of 8) and Metroidvania (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
8.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Awaken
2022
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
23 reviews
Mixed
ActionRPG
Blade Jumper
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$6.99
57 reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePlatformer
The Surge 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
POWERNAUT DECAY
2024
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
13 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Coral & The Abyss
2025
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$600–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
11 reviews
Positive
ExplorationMetroidvania
Exosuit
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
72 reviews
Mostly Positive
StylizedFPS

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