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How many copies did Blade Jumper sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 57 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blade Jumper and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blade Jumper's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–4.8M
best case 18.7M (Brawlhalla)
Games like Blade Jumper

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–4.8M copies

≈ $17.7M–$35.6M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Brawlhalla at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (5 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Fighting + 2D Fighter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
413k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric

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