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How many copies did Takoyaki Party Survival sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 258 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Takoyaki Party Survival and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Takoyaki Party Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66–98
best case 15k (Old School)
Games like Takoyaki Party Survival

A typical game among these

≈ 66–98 copies

≈ $126–$170 after Steam's cut

from ~3 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Old School at ≈ 11k–18k copies, ≈ $46k–$123k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 142 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Time Management (8 of 8) and Collectathon (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Old School + Time Management, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Old School + Education + Dating Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SimulationStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.