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How many copies did AIdventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 56 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid AIdventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including AIdventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 149k–260k
best case 346k (Citizen Sleeper)
Games like AIdventure

A typical game among these

≈ 149k–260k copies

≈ $1.0M–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Citizen Sleeper at ≈ 264k–429k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 211 reviews in their first month; the range was 75 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8) and Multiple Endings (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dice + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$73k–$196k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before Steam's cut
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AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES - nirvanA Initiative
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Visual NovelMystery
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2024
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too small to compare
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AdventureArtificial Intelligence
Citizen Sleeper
2022
Est. copies
≈ 264k–429k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGDice
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2021
Est. copies
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too small to compare
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too small to compare
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AI Dungeon
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too small to compare
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Free
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Doki Doki AI Interrogation
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Artificial IntelligenceDetective

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