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How many copies did Epic Auto Towers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–32k
$81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$334k before Steam's cut
from 789 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Epic Auto Towers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Epic Auto Towers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56k–186k
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Epic Auto Towers

A typical game among these

≈ 56k–186k copies

≈ $138k–$488k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Auto Battler (5 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Turn-Based Tactics + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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5.6x vs typical
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PvETrading Card Game
Dota Underlords
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Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
44x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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91k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
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Strategy RPGAuto Battler
Nomad Survival
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Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
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Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
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Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Roguelike DeckbuilderAuto Battler
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Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
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Rogue-liteStrategy

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