How much revenue did Incursion Red River make?

$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Incursion Red River sell?

Q: How many copies did Incursion Red River sell?

235k to 382k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 235k–382k; $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Incursion Red River and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Incursion Red River's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 93k–451k

best case 2.6M (Gray Zone Warfare)

Games like Incursion Red River

A typical game among these

≈ 93k–451k copies

≈ $744k–$6.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Gray Zone Warfare at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.6M–$58.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 61 to 41k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (7 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tactical + FPS, priced around $40.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Marauders 2022	Est. copies ≈ 532k–864k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	21k reviews Mixed	Early AccessExtraction Shooter
Gray Zone Warfare 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.1M after Steam's cut $39.3M–$89.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	79k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessOnline Co-Op
Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six® Extraction 2023	Est. copies ≈ 79k–128k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $869k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	3k reviews Mixed	FPSAction
Into the Radius VR 2020	Est. copies ≈ 281k–456k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	11k reviews Very Positive	VRExtraction Shooter
CONVRGENCE 2026	Est. copies ≈ 46k–75k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $318k–$855k after Steam's cut $578k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	VRAtmospheric
Z.O.N.A Project X VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $43k–$115k after Steam's cut $78k–$178k before Steam's cut	$19.99	315 reviews Mostly Positive	ShooterOpen World
Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone 2024	Est. copies ≈ 89k–144k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $488k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $888k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Mixed	VRShooter
Vigor 2024	Est. copies ≈ 199k–324k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Mixed	Looter ShooterMultiplayer