How much revenue did MOBIUS BAND* make?

$2k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MOBIUS BAND* sell?

Q: How many copies did MOBIUS BAND* sell?

992 to 2k copies, based on its 40 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 992–2k; $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut; from 40 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MOBIUS BAND* and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MOBIUS BAND*'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 139k–257k

best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)

Games like MOBIUS BAND*

A typical game among these

≈ 139k–257k copies

≈ $457k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 862 reviews in their first month; the range was 113 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Word Game (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Historical, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Historical + Cooking + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
候鸟 2023	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $298k–$801k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$10.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Word Game2D Platformer
Aliya: Timelink 2024	Est. copies ≈ 240k–390k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $197k–$530k after Steam's cut $359k–$816k before Steam's cut	$2.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGInteractive Fiction
WILL: A Wonderful World / WILL：美好世界 2017	Est. copies ≈ 189k–307k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $778k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring 2021	Est. copies ≈ 175k–284k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $672k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$13.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureMystery
月に寄りそう乙女の作法 2022	Est. copies ≈ 113k–184k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelWord Game
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical
恋爱绮谭~不存在的夏天~ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 73k–119k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $181k–$487k after Steam's cut $329k–$749k before Steam's cut	$8.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelMystery
Far Away 2021	Est. copies ≈ 203k–330k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$12.99	8k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerVisual Novel