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How many copies did Dark Messiah of Might & Magic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before Steam's cut
from 84 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Messiah of Might & Magic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Messiah of Might & Magic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 73k–601k
best case 4.4M (The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009))
Games like Dark Messiah of Might & Magic

A typical game among these

≈ 73k–601k copies

≈ $386k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009) at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (8 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)
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Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
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RPGOpen World
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too small to compare
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$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
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No user reviews
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SteamSpy under 20k
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WesternRogue-lite
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Dark Messiah of Might & Magic
2006
Est. copies
≈ 749k–1.2M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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VRAction

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