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How many copies did Dark Messiah of Might & Magic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 749k–1.2M
$2.1M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before Steam's cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Messiah of Might & Magic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Messiah of Might & Magic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–225k
best case 2.0M (Blade and Sorcery)
Games like Dark Messiah of Might & Magic

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–225k copies

≈ $504k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blade and Sorcery at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 292 to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Swordplay (7 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Swordplay, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vanishing Realms™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 74k–121k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $742k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRSwordplay
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
Dark Messiah of Might & Magic
2006
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before Steam's cut
$9.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
RPGFirst-Person
Until You Fall
2020
Est. copies
≈ 82k–134k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRSwordplay
Hellsplit: Arena
2019
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$783k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Mortal Online 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
14k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGSandbox
City of Brass
2018
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$139k–$373k after Steam's cut $252k–$574k before Steam's cut
$19.99
830 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeSwordplay
ELDERBORN
2020
Est. copies
≈ 77k–125k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$318k–$855k after Steam's cut $578k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonSouls-like

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