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How many copies did Until You Fall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 82k–134k
$565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Until You Fall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Until You Fall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 334–968
best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)
Games like Until You Fall

A typical game among these

≈ 334–968 copies

≈ $2k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~23 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 178 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Moddable, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Moddable + Sandbox + Dungeon Crawler; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Battle Talent
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
56x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$174k–$469k after Steam's cut $317k–$721k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRSwordplay
HexWind
2025
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$11.99
26 reviews
Positive
Early AccessCombat
Sci-Fantasy Defence
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$19.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Wizard's Legacy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$956–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$19.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Early AccessVR
Tyrgard Archer VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$135–$363 after Steam's cut $246–$559 before Steam's cut
$0.99
20 reviews
Mostly Positive
ColorfulFantasy
Darksword: Battle Eternity
2023
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$24.99
31 reviews
Mixed
VRRPG
IRONSTRIKE
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$19.99
50 reviews
Very Positive
VRAction Roguelike
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
3320x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm

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