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How many copies did IRONSTRIKE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IRONSTRIKE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IRONSTRIKE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 480–3.0M
best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like IRONSTRIKE

A typical game among these

≈ 480–3.0M copies

≈ $59k–$83.4M after Steam's cut

from ~349 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 103k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and VR (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
1320x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Horror Simulator VR: Prologue
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16 reviews
Mixed
ActionStrategy
Legend of Dungeon
2013
Est. copies
≈ 104k–168k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Hellsweeper VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$85k–$227k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut
$19.99
620 reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
1014x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Dungeons & Treasure VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut
$19.99
77 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeIndie
Plush Madness
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
VRHorror
无限家园
2022
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11 reviews
Positive
CasualIndie

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