How much revenue did HexWind make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did HexWind sell?

Q: How many copies did HexWind sell?

645 to 1k copies, based on its 26 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 645–1k; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut; from 26 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HexWind and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HexWind's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 260k–728k

best case 2.2M (Bodycam)

Games like HexWind

A typical game among these

≈ 260k–728k copies

≈ $1.7M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Bodycam at ≈ 1.7M–2.7M copies, ≈ $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 846 to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (4 of 8) and Combat (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Realistic, priced around $33.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hellish Quart 2021	Est. copies ≈ 212k–344k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$17.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessFighting
Bodycam 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut	$33.32	67k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessFPS
Until You Fall 2020	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	VRSwordplay
Trepang2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 489k–795k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before Steam's cut	$34.99	20k reviews Very Positive	ShooterSingleplayer
Ghosts of Tabor 2023	Est. copies ≈ 260k–423k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessAction
GRIP: Combat Racing 2018	Est. copies ≈ 157k–255k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	RacingAction
VTOL VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 752k–1.2M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FlightVR
FPV Kamikaze Drone 2023	Est. copies ≈ 323k–526k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $969k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$5.99	13k reviews Very Positive	SimulationAction