How much revenue did ELDERBORN make?

$318k–$855k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ELDERBORN sell?

Q: How many copies did ELDERBORN sell?

77k to 125k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 77k–125k; $318k–$855k after Steam's cut $578k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ELDERBORN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ELDERBORN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 173k–584k

best case 1.5M (Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014)

Games like ELDERBORN

A typical game among these

≈ 173k–584k copies

≈ $1.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014 at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 84 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (5 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $30.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dread Delusion 2024	Est. copies ≈ 132k–214k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $724k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Witchfire 2024	Est. copies ≈ 445k–723k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	18k reviews Very Positive	FPSExtraction Shooter
Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	21k reviews Mixed	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
INFERNIUM 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $48k–$128k after Steam's cut $87k–$197k before Steam's cut	$29.99	190 reviews Mixed	HorrorIndie
Monsters Domain 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$162k before Steam's cut	$19.99	287 reviews Mostly Negative	ActionRPG
Devil Spire 2022	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $36k–$97k after Steam's cut $65k–$149k before Steam's cut	$9.99	528 reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerRPG
Lunacid 2023	Est. copies ≈ 287k–467k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$13.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerDark Fantasy
VOIN 2024	Est. copies ≈ 94k–153k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $516k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $939k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction