How much revenue did Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders make?

Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders sell?

Q: How many copies did Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders sell?

74k to 120k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 74k–120k; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 243k–321k

best case 983k (Dark Messiah of Might & Magic)

Games like Heretic: Shadow of the Serpent Riders

A typical game among these

≈ 243k–321k copies

≈ $849k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Dark Messiah of Might & Magic at ≈ 749k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (6 of 8) and Classic (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with First-Person + Fantasy, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
AMID EVIL 2019	Est. copies ≈ 224k–363k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Old SchoolBoomer Shooter
Zeno Clash 2009	Est. copies ≈ 204k–332k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ActionSurreal
Dark Messiah of Might & Magic 2006	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before Steam's cut	$9.99	84 reviews Very Positive	RPGFirst-Person
Turok 2015	Est. copies ≈ 207k–336k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	ActionDinosaurs
Thief: Deadly Shadows 2007	Est. copies ≈ 166k–269k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $409k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $744k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$8.99	3k reviews Very Positive	StealthAtmospheric
Thief II: The Metal Age 2012	Est. copies ≈ 136k–220k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $261k–$701k after Steam's cut $474k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	2k reviews Very Positive	StealthClassic
Dark Messiah of Might & Magic 2006	Est. copies ≈ 749k–1.2M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	RPGFirst-Person
Thief Gold (1999) 2012	Est. copies ≈ 266k–432k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $929k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StealthClassic