How much revenue did Thief: Deadly Shadows make?

$409k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thief: Deadly Shadows sell?

Q: How many copies did Thief: Deadly Shadows sell?

166k to 269k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 166k–269k; $409k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $744k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thief: Deadly Shadows and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thief: Deadly Shadows's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.4M–18.4M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like Thief: Deadly Shadows

A typical game among these

≈ 10.4M–18.4M copies

≈ $63.8M–$118.5M after Steam's cut

from ~230k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 67k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 153k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (6 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
R.E.P.O. 2025	Est. copies ≈ 10.6M–17.2M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	427k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Metro 2033 Redux 2014	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–12.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.8M–$117.8M after Steam's cut $79.6M–$181.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	142k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
Outlast 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	140k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Schedule I 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Co-op
Far Cry 3 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.5M–13.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.6M–$125.4M after Steam's cut $84.8M–$192.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	134k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldFPS