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How many copies did METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 152k–247k
$835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–3.8M
best case 7.6M (Far Cry® 5)
Games like METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–3.8M copies

≈ $33.4M–$82.2M after Steam's cut

from ~72k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Far Cry® 5 at ≈ 5.8M–9.4M copies, ≈ $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 30k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Action-Adventure, priced around $60.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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