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How many copies did The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
$19.2M–$51.5M after Steam's cut $34.9M–$79.3M before Steam's cut
from 56k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–4.7M
best case 3.6M (The Last of Us™ Part I)
Games like The Last of Us™ Part II Remastered

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–4.7M copies

≈ $29.3M–$64.0M after Steam's cut

from ~91k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Last of Us™ Part I at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (2 of 3) and Post-apocalyptic (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Last of Us™ Part I
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichPost-apocalyptic
Mad Max
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldVehicular Combat
Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 906k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Looter ShooterOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.