How much revenue did Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2 make?

$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2 sell?

906k to 1.5M copies, based on its 37k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 906k–1.5M; $7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut; from 37k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 854k–1.8M

best case 16.0M (Palworld)

Games like Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2

A typical game among these

≈ 854k–1.8M copies

≈ $7.3M–$25.9M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 469k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Creature Collector + Crafting + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $19.8M–$53.1M after Steam's cut $35.9M–$81.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	48k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Deadside 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	41k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator 2023	Est. copies ≈ 464k–755k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	19k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureDriving
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 574k–933k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	23k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationCrime
Necesse 2025	Est. copies ≈ 727k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
OUTRIDERS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	61k reviews Mixed	Looter ShooterRPG
Tom Clancy’s The Division™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut $60.5M–$137.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	97k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldLooter Shooter