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How many copies did Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
$19.8M–$53.1M after Steam's cut $35.9M–$81.7M before Steam's cut
from 48k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32.7M–81.2M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint

A typical game among these

≈ 32.7M–81.2M copies

≈ $425.2M–$657.7M after Steam's cut

from ~972k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation

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