How much revenue did Scarlet Moon make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Scarlet Moon sell?

Q: How many copies did Scarlet Moon sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 98 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 98 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scarlet Moon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scarlet Moon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–10k

best case 38k (Troublemaker)

Games like Scarlet Moon

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–10k copies

≈ $7k–$96k after Steam's cut

from ~129 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Troublemaker at ≈ 29k–47k copies, ≈ $158k–$426k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 45 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 572.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (7 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Beat 'em up + Action RPG, priced around $20.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Echoes of Yi : Samsara 2025	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $77k–$207k after Steam's cut $140k–$319k before Steam's cut	$19.99	566 reviews Mixed	Action-AdventureRPG
Troublemaker 2023	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $158k–$426k after Steam's cut $288k–$655k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	AdventureBeat 'em up
Dangerous Lands - Magic and RPG 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut	$9.99	68 reviews Mostly Positive	Hack and SlashCasual
Magicians And Monsters 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$5.99	72 reviews Mixed	ActionRPG
Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $18k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$73k before Steam's cut	$13.99	185 reviews Mixed	ActionAdventure
Redemption of Liuyin 2025	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $26k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$109k before Steam's cut	$18.99	204 reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeAction
Stream Arenas 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	51 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction
Panda legend 2022	Est. copies ≈ 918–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $252–$679 after Steam's cut $459–$1k before Steam's cut	$1.00	37 reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeSpectacle fighter