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How many copies did Dangerous Lands - Magic and RPG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 68 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dangerous Lands - Magic and RPG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dangerous Lands - Magic and RPG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–3.3M
best case 5.3M (Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™)
Games like Dangerous Lands - Magic and RPG

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–3.3M copies

≈ $21.0M–$44.8M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™ at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies, ≈ $55.4M–$149.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Action RPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
38k reviews
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2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
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$34.99
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Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$29.99
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嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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NuditySexual Content
Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.4M after Steam's cut $30.7M–$69.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
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Very Positive
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Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.1M after Steam's cut $100.8M–$229.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
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No Rest for the Wicked
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.4M–$60.3M after Steam's cut $40.8M–$92.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
82k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessOpen World

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