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How many copies did XXX_CYBERRAT_XXX sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
from 148 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid XXX_CYBERRAT_XXX and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including XXX_CYBERRAT_XXX's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.1M–4.8M
best case 4.8M (Inscryption)
Games like XXX_CYBERRAT_XXX

A typical game among these

≈ 4.1M–4.8M copies

≈ $8.0M–$38.1M after Steam's cut

from ~92k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Inscryption at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Card Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$2.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Deceit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Mostly Positive
PvPMultiplayer
Cry of Fear
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Spec Ops: The Line
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichThird-Person Shooter
Low Story
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$8.99
10 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure

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