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How many copies did Survive The Troll sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Only 9 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Survive The Troll and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Survive The Troll's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–6.9M
best case 18.7M (Cities: Skylines)
Games like Survive The Troll

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–6.9M copies

≈ $48.2M–$93.5M after Steam's cut

from ~138k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Cities: Skylines at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 83 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 19k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (6 of 8) and Base-Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
183k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Rebirth evolution
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$8.99
138 reviews
Mixed
Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
138k reviews
Very Positive
Dream Hotel Master
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
SimulationLife Sim
Polity - Online Role Playing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
110 reviews
Mostly Positive
City BuilderResource Management

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.