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How many copies did Amber Trail sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 595–967
$817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 24 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Amber Trail and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Amber Trail's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 163–619
best case 15.8M (Bloons TD 6)
Games like Amber Trail

A typical game among these

≈ 163–619 copies

≈ $899–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bloons TD 6 at ≈ 12.0M–19.6M copies, ≈ $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 13.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Exploration (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading + Simulation, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Strategy + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Terminal squad: Sentinel
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$3.99
44 reviews
Mixed
Match 3Puzzle
Merchants of Kaidan
2014
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
58x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$120k–$323k after Steam's cut $219k–$497k before Steam's cut
$14.99
521 reviews
Mixed
TradingStrategy
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
43978x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Mycelium Guardians
2024
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Early AccessNature
King's Keeper
2025
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$19.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Colony SimBase-Building
Your Spaceport!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$398–$1k after Steam's cut $724–$2k before Steam's cut
$6.49
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Time ManagementSandbox
Pest Control
2021
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$517–$1k after Steam's cut $940–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
19 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based TacticsExploration
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.1M
17373x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
156k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseZombies

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